How Much Is Lucretia Worth?
Last updated: May 8, 2026
Quick Facts
- Last Sale
- $5.1M (2019, Artcurial, Paris)
- Methodology
- comparable analysis
Assuming a securely attributed, museum‑quality 'Lucretia' by Artemisia Gentileschi in good condition with documented provenance and exhibition history, my market estimate is USD 3,500,000–8,000,000. This band is anchored to the painting’s public‑sale trajectory (Dorotheum 2018 → Artcurial 2019) and current Artemisia market comparables.
Valuation Analysis
Valuation conclusion: Assuming the painting is an autograph, museum‑quality "Lucretia" by Artemisia Gentileschi—secure attribution, sound condition, and a documented provenance/exhibition history—I estimate a market value of USD 3,500,000–8,000,000. That band is anchored by the painting’s recorded market trajectory: it sold at Dorotheum in October 2018 for ≈USD 2.16M and was resold at Artcurial in November 2019 for ≈USD 5.12M after scholarly promotion and marketing; that dramatic uplift demonstrates how attribution, cataloguing and institutional interest can more than double realized value in short order [2][1].
The lower bound of USD 3.5M represents a conservative price for a well‑attributed but less‑publicized autograph—reflecting observed realized prices for good, but not trophy, Artemisia paintings. The midpoint to upper bound (≈USD 5–8M) describes a painting whose authorship is uncontested by leading specialists, which has recently undergone sympathetic conservation, and which carries clear exhibition/publication credentials; such conditions push a work into the Artcurial/Christie’s competitive bidding pool and attract institutional purchasers. Exceptional circumstances (major new scholarship, high‑profile loans, or multiple institutional bidders) could push a single, rare Lucretia above the stated ceiling, but that is exceptional rather than normative.
Comparables and market context: The Artcurial 2019 sale is the clearest public anchor for this composition and explains the upper part of our band. Other autograph Artemisia sales—Sotheby’s Susanna (2022, ≈USD 2.14M) and David with the Head of Goliath (Sotheby’s, 2025, ≈USD 2.73M)—populate a lower‑tier market band (~USD 2–3M) that supports the valuation floor. Institutional activity (the Getty’s acquisition in 2021 and major retrospectives) has reduced buyer uncertainty and elevated prices generally for freshly authenticated works; institutional endorsement also shortens the path to the higher end of the range by validating attribution and scholarship for buyers.
Key risks and next steps: The principal value levers are attribution, condition, and provenance. Gaps in provenance, unresolved technical questions (studio involvement, later retouching), or poor conservation will reduce marketability and price significantly. To convert the estimate above into a sale‑ready figure, commission technical imaging (IRR, X‑ray), pigment and binder analysis, and a conservator’s report; compile the full provenance and any exhibition/publication citations; then obtain a formal written pre‑sale estimate from a major Old Masters department or a named Artemisia specialist. With that documentation a house can provide a sale strategy (evening sale vs. private treaty) that will materially affect the likely hammer/purchase price.
In summary, for a fully authenticated, well‑conserved, and properly documented "Lucretia" the market today supports a confident mid‑single to low‑seven‑figure valuation; absent that documentation/value drivers, expect a dramatic reduction in value into the low six‑ to five‑figure bands. I can draft an auction submission package or an introductory email to Old Masters specialists if you would like to move to formal appraisal.
Key Valuation Factors
Art Historical Significance
High ImpactLucretia is a thematically important subject in Artemisia’s output because it engages directly with narratives of female agency, honor, and trauma—subjects that have driven recent scholarly and curatorial interest. While Judith compositions command the most public attention, autograph Lucretias are relatively scarce in private hands and are therefore highly desirable to museums filling exhibition narratives about gender and the Baroque. A securely attributed Lucretia can meaningfully alter scholarly understanding of the artist’s chronology and workshop practice, which adds non‑market premium. Institutional and academic interest therefore creates competition and a scarcity premium for top examples, making art‑historical significance a high‑impact driver of market value.
Attribution & Authorship
High ImpactAttribution is the single most influential determinant of price for Artemisia. Confirmed autograph status—supported by technical imaging (IRR, X‑ray), pigment analysis, and consensus among specialists—moves a work into the highest demand tier. Evident workshop participation, later studio retouching, or unresolved attribution questions trigger substantial discounts. Market practice rewards catalogued, scholarship‑backed attributions; uncertain or contested attributions dramatically reduce sellability and realized price. Because attribution both reduces buyer risk and signals curatorial suitability, it carries high impact on the value band for a Lucretia.
Provenance & Exhibition History
High ImpactA clear ownership history and documented museum loans/publication history materially increase buyer confidence and monetary value. The Lucretia that moved from Dorotheum to Artcurial benefited from visible provenance documentation and exhibition exposure; institutions are prepared to pay premiums for works that fit exhibit narratives and that lack title disputes. Conversely, gaps in provenance or potential legal encumbrances (wartime losses, unclear export documentation) will suppress interest and can prevent institutional acquisition. Because provenance directly converts scholarly interest into market demand, it is a high‑impact valuation factor.
Condition & Conservation
High ImpactCondition affects both aesthetic authority and market acceptance. Original, stable paint surfaces, minimal overpainting, and documentation of sympathetic conservation increase value and allow freer market venues (major evening sales, institutional sales). Heavy relining, extensive inpainting, varnish discoloration, or structural instability reduce desirability and may limit sales to lower engines or private treaty. Recent, well‑documented conservation that reveals original technique can unlock higher bids. Because condition both corroborates attribution and determines display readiness, it is a high‑impact factor in any valuation.
Market Comparables & Demand
Medium ImpactAuction comparables underpin the estimate: the Artcurial 2019 result is the key public anchor for this composition and the Dorotheum 2018 sale shows the uplift that attribution and promotion can produce. Other autograph Artemisia sales (Sotheby’s, Christie’s) cluster in the mid‑single‑ to low‑seven‑figure band and define tiering. Institutional purchases (e.g., Getty) and major retrospectives have expanded the buyer pool, but demand remains concentrated on a small set of securely attributed, well‑provenanced works. Comparables thus exert a medium‑to‑high influence: essential to the estimate, but sensitive to the core attribution/condition variables.
Sale History
Dorotheum, Vienna
Artcurial, Paris
J. Paul Getty Museum (acquisition)
Artemisia Gentileschi's Market
Artemisia Gentileschi’s market has re‑rated strongly in recent years as scholarship, exhibitions, and high‑profile institutional acquisitions have raised the artist’s profile. Top autograph paintings now regularly achieve mid‑single to low‑seven‑figure prices at auction, and museum purchases have validated higher price bands. Supply of securely attributed canvases remains limited, which sustains competition when high‑quality works appear. That said, the market is binary: well‑provenanced, technically authenticated works attract strong institutional and private bids, while anything with attribution or provenance doubts experiences sharply reduced liquidity and pricing.
Comparable Sales
Lucretia
Artemisia Gentileschi
Same physical painting (sold pre‑promotion/reattribution). Shows market entry price prior to the work's wider promotion and attribution; useful to gauge uplift after reattribution.
$2.2M
2018, Dorotheum, Vienna
~$2.8M adjusted
Lucretia
Artemisia Gentileschi
Identical painting sold after reattribution/prominent promotion; established the public‑sale market anchor (record result for this composition/artist at the time).
$5.1M
2019, Artcurial, Paris
~$6.4M adjusted
Susanna and the Elders
Artemisia Gentileschi
Same artist, similar period and pictorial scale/composition type; a recent auction outcome for an autograph Artemisia that sits below the Lucretia Artcurial result—useful as a mid‑tier benchmark.
$2.1M
2022, Sotheby's, New York
~$2.3M adjusted
David with the Head of Goliath
Artemisia Gentileschi
Contemporary Artemisia sale (2025) for a major narrative composition; useful as the most recent market datapoint for high‑quality autograph works by the artist.
$2.7M
2025, Sotheby's, London
Current Market Trends
Current market conditions favor rare, well‑documented Old Masters: institutional acquisitions and major retrospectives have tightened buyer confidence for Artemisia, pushing top examples into the mid‑ to low‑seven‑figure range. However, the Old Masters market is selective and sensitive to attribution, condition and provenance. Demand is strong for trophy works but limited below that level, so timing, marketing, and the choice of sale venue will materially affect realized value.
Sources
- Artcurial — Lot 36 'Lucrèce' (Artcurial sale no. 3949, 14 Nov 2019)
- Dorotheum — Lucretia (Old Masters sale, 23 Oct 2018)
- Getty Museum press release — acquisition of Lucretia (30 Mar 2021)
- Sotheby's — David with the Head of Goliath (sale entry, July 2025)
- The Art Newspaper — coverage of recent Artemisia auction records (Feb 2026)