How Much Is Devolved Parliament Worth?

$12,200,000 - $25,000,000

Last updated: July 8, 2026

Quick Facts

Last Sale
$12.2M (2019, Sotheby's London, Contemporary Art Evening Sale (Lot 28))
Methodology
comparable analysis

I estimate Banksy’s Devolved Parliament has a present market value between USD $12.2M and $25.0M, anchored to the Sotheby’s London realized price in October 2019 and adjusted upward to reflect the artist’s materially higher auction ceiling in 2021. The lower bound equals the documented 2019 sale (with buyer’s premium) while the upper bound represents a realistic ceiling in exceptional market conditions supported by 2021 top‑tier comparables.

Devolved Parliament

Devolved Parliament

Banksy, 2009 (reworked and retitled by 2019) • Oil on canvas

Read full analysis of Devolved Parliament

Valuation Analysis

Valuation conclusion: Based on publicly reported auction results and the work’s provenance, I place Devolved Parliament in a market range of USD $12,200,000 to $25,000,000. The floor is the concrete Sotheby’s London realized price from 3 October 2019 (lot 28) including buyer’s premium [1]; the upside reflects the materially higher ceiling for iconic Banksy canvases demonstrated in 2021 [2][3].

Anchor and comparables: The 2019 sale (hammer reported £8.5M; final with premium reported £9,879,500) provides the strongest direct anchor because it is the same physical canvas sold with Pest Control authentication and clear provenance [1]. Comparable high‑end results in 2021 — notably the shredded "Girl With Balloon" rebranded as Love Is In The Bin and the Game Changer NHS work — pushed realized prices into the low‑to‑mid‑twenties of millions USD on exceptional narratives and market conditions [2][3]. Those 2021 outcomes establish the plausible upper band for a museum‑quality Banksy canvas, though each comparable carried unique value drivers.

Adjustments and drivers: Devolved Parliament is a major, museum‑worthy Banksy canvas (originally exhibited as Question Time in 2009 and publicly loaned to Bristol Museum in 2019), which supports strong institutional and private buyer interest [4]. Key value drivers that could push the work toward the upper band include a renewed exhibition history, competitive international bidding, confirmed pristine condition, and active marketing by a top auction house. The presence of a valid Pest Control certificate materially reduces authenticity risk and preserves marketability [1].

Risks and limiting factors: The strongest comparables contain atypical elements (performance provenance, charity context) that are not fully fungible as routine drivers of price; absent those singular stories, many Banksy canvases re‑price closer to earlier realized levels. Macroeconomic volatility, concentrated buyer pools, shipping/insurance costs for a very large canvas, and any conservation issues would compress achievable price toward the lower bound. Private‑sale dynamics can also produce premiums or discounts relative to auction outcomes.

Practical recommendation: Treat the $12.2M figure as a reliable market floor and $25M as an achievable ceiling in exceptional circumstances. To refine this valuation into a sale estimate or insured value, obtain a current condition report, the Sotheby’s final invoice, copies of Pest Control documentation, confirmation of current ownership/exhibition loans, and pre‑sale estimates from major houses. Those inputs can tighten the range and target a realistic reserve or insured amount.

Key Valuation Factors

Art Historical Significance

High Impact

Devolved Parliament is one of Banksy’s most significant studio canvases: a large, politically charged oil on canvas first shown as 'Question Time' in 2009 and widely published thereafter. Its subject—chimpanzees in the House of Commons—has strong cultural resonance and is repeatedly cited in scholarship and press about Banksy’s political commentary. Because the work is widely recognized and qualifies as museum‑quality, it carries an intrinsic curatorial value that attracts institutional interest and mature private collectors. That status supports top‑tier bidding and underpins the painting’s ability to sit at the high end of the market for contemporary street‑art canvases.

Provenance & Authentication

High Impact

The lot was offered at Sotheby’s with a documented provenance (acquired from the artist in 2011 as catalogued) and accompanied by a Pest Control certificate at time of sale, substantially reducing authenticity risk. Clear, uncontested provenance and Pest Control authentication are decisive for Banksy material: they broaden the eligible buyer pool and allow international auction houses to market the work without qualification. Any gaps, contested ownership, or missing Pest Control documentation would materially impair marketability, so current provenance/authentication is a core positive driver of the estimate.

Comparables & Auction Record

High Impact

Direct comparables anchor the range: the work’s own 2019 Sotheby’s realization establishes the reliable floor. The artist’s auction ceiling rose in 2021—Love Is In The Bin and Game Changer produced realized prices in the low‑to‑mid‑twenty millions—demonstrating upside for uniquely valuable Banksy canvases. However, both 2021 results contained singular narratives (shredding, charity context) that are only partially comparable. Therefore comparables support the range but require adjustment for narrative uniqueness; Devolved Parliament is structurally comparable but lacks those identical provenance events.

Condition & Physical Attributes

Medium Impact

Devolved Parliament is a very large oil on canvas; condition, surface stability, stretcher integrity, any inpaint or conservation work, and the presence/quality of framing materially affect saleability and value. Logistical considerations (transport, crate costs, insurance) increase buyer transaction costs for large works, which can temper bidding. A pristine condition report will support the upper band; conversely, conservation issues or structural instability will reduce buyer confidence and can necessitate a meaningful discount.

Market & Economic Conditions

Medium Impact

Contemporary art market dynamics and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, liquidity, currency movements) influence the timing and price achievable. Banksy remains high‑profile, but concentrated buyer demand and periodic market pullbacks can compress results. Auction house promotion, sale timing (evening sale vs. special sale), and competing marquee lots on the same evening also affect realized price. In a buoyant market with active international bidding, Devolved Parliament can reach toward the upper band; in weaker conditions, realizations will cluster nearer to the 2019 anchor.

Sale History

Price unknownInvalid Date

Sotheby's London (Contemporary Art Evening Sale, Lot 28)

Price unknownInvalid Date

Sotheby's London (Contemporary Art Evening Sale)

Price unknownInvalid Date

Christie's London (Charity Sale)

Banksy's Market

Banksy occupies a blue‑chip, high‑profile position within contemporary/street art markets. Authentic studio canvases and authenticated removals of public works are scarce and attract intense media and collector attention. Pest Control’s role in authentication is central to market access. Exceptional publicity events (e.g., the 2018 shredding incident and 2021 charity sale) elevated the artist’s auction ceiling. While pieces can produce blockbuster results in unique circumstances, many works still transact around previously established realized prices, making provenance, condition, and narrative critical to premium pricing.

Comparable Sales

Devolved Parliament

Banksy

Same exact work — the realized 2019 auction price is the market floor anchor for Devolved Parliament (catalogued with Pest Control authentication).

$12.2M

2019, Sotheby's, London

~$15.6M adjusted

Love Is In The Bin (shredded Girl With Balloon)

Banksy

Artist's auction record and hugely publicized provenance event (partial shredding) — shows market ceiling for highly iconic, news‑driven Banksy canvases.

$25.3M

2021, Sotheby's, London

~$30.6M adjusted

Game Changer

Banksy

Major high‑profile 2021 sale (NHS/charity context) with multiple‑million result — demonstrates strong demand for culturally‑salient Banksy originals in 2021.

$23.2M

2021, Christie's, London

~$28.0M adjusted

Love Is In The Air

Banksy

High‑quality Banksy canvas sold in late 2021 for a mid‑seven‑figure sum — useful lower‑tier comparable showing range within the market for museum‑quality works.

$8.1M

2021, Sotheby's, New York

~$9.8M adjusted

Current Market Trends

Post‑2021 the market showed that Banksy can achieve substantially higher peaks when an artwork has a compelling story or charitable context. Absent such factors, realized prices often revert closer to prior anchors. Broader market volatility and buyer liquidity continue to moderate outcomes, but top‑quality, well‑documented works by household names remain resilient.

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Disclaimer: This estimate is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on publicly available data and AI analysis. It should not be used for insurance, tax, estate planning, or sale purposes. For formal appraisals, consult a certified appraiser.

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