How Much Is Arrière du Tub Worth?

$10,000,000–$25,000,000

Last updated: April 24, 2026

Quick Facts

Last Sale
$11.7M (2007, Christie's New York)
Methodology
comparable analysis

Anchored to the documented Christie’s New York sale of Arrière du Tub (9 May 2007, price realized $11,688,000), the present-market estimate for Paul Signac’s Arrière du Tub (1888, 46.4 × 65 cm, Op. 175) is approximately $10,000,000–$25,000,000. This range assumes the attribution, documented provenance and condition match Christie’s lot dossier; condition issues or provenance gaps would materially lower the outcome.

Arrière du Tub

Arrière du Tub

Paul Signac, 1888 • Oil on canvas

Read full analysis of Arrière du Tub

Valuation Analysis

Conclusion and anchor: Arrière du Tub is a documented, catalogue‑listed Signac that realized $11,688,000 at Christie’s New York on 9 May 2007; that sale functions as the primary market anchor for a present valuation [1]. The painting’s medium/measurements (circa 46.4 × 65 cm), signature/op. inscription and Christie’s lot essay (which cites the Cachin catalogue‑raisonné and Durand‑Ruel provenance) give the work strong attributional and provenance credentials. Based on the identical work’s auction history and the cluster of high‑quality Signac comparables, I estimate a present offering range of $10,000,000–$25,000,000 in a major‑house evening sale.

Method and comparables: The valuation uses a comparable‑analysis approach. The 2007 realized price, when considered alongside later high‑quality Signac results (Sotheby’s Maisons du port, Saint‑Tropez, 2016; Christie’s Portrieux, 2018) and the artist’s auction ceiling (Concarneau, calme du matin, Christie’s 2022), produces a cluster of mid‑ and high‑market signals. The 2007 sale, if CPI‑adjusted to mid‑2020s dollars, sits roughly in the mid‑to‑high single‑digit/mid‑double‑digit million band (commonly cited as roughly ~$18M when using broad CPI adjustments); contemporaneous evening‑sale comparables typically trade in the $10–$18M neighborhood while exceptional, museum‑quality works have pushed substantially higher [2].

Why the range: The lower bound ($10M) reflects a realistic, conservative expectation for a well‑provenanced, medium‑sized Signac offered without extraordinary institutional momentum. The middle of the band tracks inflation/market movement relative to the 2007 result and recent comparable sales. The upper bound ($25M) assumes an optimized sale scenario — prime evening‑sale placement, pre‑sale museum loan or major exhibition, high‑quality condition, and robust competitive bidding (or a guarantee that signals market confidence). The painting would need several of those amplifying factors to approach the upper level.

Risks and recommended next steps: Values are highly sensitive to condition, any undisclosed restoration, and post‑2007 provenance. I recommend: (1) a full conservator’s condition report and technical analysis (infrared, X‑ray, pigment analysis); (2) documentary provenance research for ownership since 2007; (3) consultation with Impressionist & Modern specialists at major houses to determine sale strategy (evening lot vs. private sale/guarantee); and (4) pursuing a pre‑sale museum loan/exhibition if feasible to maximize competitive demand. If conservation issues or provenance gaps appear, expect a meaningful downward adjustment into the mid‑six to low‑seven figure band. This opinion is market guidance based on public auction evidence and comparables; it is not a formal insured appraisal.

Key Valuation Factors

Art Historical Significance

Medium Impact

Dated 1888, Arrière du Tub belongs to Signac's formative Divisionist period following his adoption of Neo‑Impressionist technique. While it is not typically singled out in broad public narratives as one of the artist’s canonical masterpieces, it is academically relevant and is catalogue‑listed (Cachin), which increases curatorial and scholarly interest. Institutional interest arising from its date and technique can support market value, but the work’s historical importance is not in the same league as the few museum‑defining Signacs that set the artist’s auction ceiling. In valuation terms this factor supports credibility and buyer confidence but is a medium driver of price compared with provenance and condition.

Provenance & Exhibition History

High Impact

Provenance is a prime value driver: the painting’s early sale via Galerie Durand‑Ruel (1907) and later public sale at Christie’s (2007) create a documented ownership trail that underpins confident attribution. Christie’s lot essay cites the Cachin catalogue‑raisonné and lists exhibition references — both of which materially increase marketability and enable evening‑sale placement. If post‑2007 ownership is clean and the work has been exhibited or published, those facts can push the painting toward the high end of the estimate. Conversely, any gaps or contested ownership would sharply reduce buyer interest and realized price.

Condition & Technical Authenticity

High Impact

Condition and technical authentication are decisive. Original, stable paint and ground, an intact signature/opus marking and absence of overpainting or aggressive relining materially preserve value; extensive restoration or destabilized paint can reduce results significantly. Technical analysis (infrared reflectography, X‑rays, and pigment analysis) that confirms period materials and an original support will strengthen buyer confidence. Auction houses and institutional buyers pay premiums for clear technical provenance; conversely, adverse conservation findings commonly drop expectations into a lower pricing tier.

Size & Composition

Medium Impact

At roughly 46.4 × 65 cm, Arrière du Tub is a medium‑sized canvas that suits private collectors and can appear attractively in evening sales. Signac’s larger salon‑scale seascapes and iconic port panoramas typically command higher absolute prices because they function as museum‑quality focal points. The subject matter (coastal/port scene) is desirable within Signac’s oeuvre and generally attracts collector demand; however size/compositional ambition will moderate the ceiling compared with the artist’s largest masterpieces.

Market Comparables & Timing

High Impact

Auction comparables and sale timing are central. The 2007 Christie’s realized price anchors the painting’s demonstrable market value; other significant sales (Sotheby’s 2016, Christie’s 2018 and Christie’s 2022 record) map a market that is top‑heavy but active for high‑quality Signacs. Timing — aligning a consignment with market windows, major exhibitions or museum loans — and sale strategy (evening lot placement, guarantees or pre‑sale private treaty) often determine whether a comparable result is achieved or exceeded. In practice, optimized timing and sale context are needed to reach the upper bound of the estimate.

Sale History

Price unknownMarch 21, 1907

Galerie Durand‑Ruel et Cie., Paris (sale)

Price unknownMay 9, 2007

Christie's New York — Impressionist & Modern Evening Sale (lot 35)

Paul Signac's Market

Paul Signac is a blue‑chip figure in Neo‑Impressionism whose best works command multi‑million dollar prices and whose auction ceiling was reset by Christie’s in 2022 (Concarneau, calme du matin). Many high‑quality Signac seascapes and ports trade in the mid‑six to low‑eight figure range depending on size, provenance and condition. The market is top‑heavy: a small number of museum‑quality canvases fetch exceptional results, while well‑provenanced, exhibition‑ready medium works typically sell in the $5–20M band. Institutional interest and catalogue raisonnés continue to underpin demand.

Comparable Sales

Arrière du Tub

Paul Signac

Primary anchor — the identical, catalogue‑listed work (signed P. Signac 88). Direct market benchmark: sold in Christie's Impressionist & Modern Evening Sale.

$11.7M

2007, Christie's New York

~$18.0M adjusted

Maisons du port, Saint‑Tropez

Paul Signac

Same artist and subject matter (port/seascape); offered in a major‑house evening sale and represents a mid‑market, high‑quality Signac result.

$10.7M

2016, Sotheby's New York

~$14.2M adjusted

Portrieux. La Comtesse (Op. 191, 1888)

Paul Signac

Same year/period (1888) and similar subject; sold in a high‑profile sale (Rockefeller consignment), useful for judging demand for late‑1880s Signac seascapes.

$13.8M

2018, Christie's New York

~$17.6M adjusted

Concarneau, calme du matin (Op. 219, 1891)

Paul Signac

Artist auction record and a museum‑quality, canonical Signac seascape—establishes the current market ceiling for the artist.

$39.3M

2022, Christie's New York (Paul G. Allen sale)

~$43.0M adjusted

Calanque des Canoubiers (Pointe de Bamer), Saint‑Tropez

Paul Signac

Recent London sale of a Mediterranean seascape — shows mid‑market London demand for Signac and is a good geographic/subject comparator.

$10.1M

2023, Christie's London

~$10.6M adjusted

Current Market Trends

The late‑2010s through 2022 period saw strong demand for top Signacs, peaking with record results in late 2022. Since 2023 the global art market has become more selective; top examples still perform strongly but frequency of headline sales is lower and buyers are more disciplined. For highest returns, timing, sale context and institutional momentum (exhibition/loans) remain critical.

Disclaimer: This estimate is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on publicly available data and AI analysis. It should not be used for insurance, tax, estate planning, or sale purposes. For formal appraisals, consult a certified appraiser.

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