How Much Is Concarneau. Calme du soir (allegro maestoso) Worth?

$15–45 million

Last updated: April 24, 2026

Quick Facts

Methodology
comparable analysis

If Paul Signac’s Concarneau. Calme du soir (Op. 220) from The Met’s Robert Lehman Collection were to come to market, a reasoned market range is $15–45 million, with a most‑probable mid‑case around $20–30M. This range is anchored by the near‑identical Concarneau (Op.219) sale at Christie’s ($39.32M) while allowing for condition, literature, and market timing variance.

Concarneau. Calme du soir (allegro maestoso)

Paul Signac, 1891 • Oil on canvas

Read full analysis of Concarneau. Calme du soir (allegro maestoso)

Valuation Analysis

Overview: This valuation assumes the canvas in question is the oil on canvas listed in The Metropolitan Museum of Art’s Robert Lehman Collection as Evening Calm, Concarneau, Opus 220 (Allegro Maestoso) (64.8 × 81.3 cm) [1]. Because Op.220 is museum‑held with continuous and high‑quality provenance into the Lehman Collection, it should be treated as a museum‑grade example of Signac’s 1891 Concarneau group.

Comparables and rationale: The single best market anchor is Concarneau, calme du matin (Op.219, 1891), which sold at Christie’s New York in November 2022 for $39.32M — a market‑resetting result for Signac and the clearest direct comparable to Op.220 [2]. Additional high‑quality Signac seascapes have sold in the mid‑ to high‑seven figure band (examples include large coastal canvases that realized roughly $20–30M in high profile sales) while other excellent works have traded in the single‑ to low‑seven figure range. Taken together, those sales create a tiered market: top museum‑quality Concarneaux can reach tens of millions, while lesser condition, weaker provenance, or smaller/more minor compositional variants fall materially lower.

Applying comparables: Using Op.219 as the direct sister benchmark and adjusting for size, condition and museum provenance, the defensible range for Op.220 is approximately $15–45M. The lower bound reflects a scenario where condition issues, limited literature/exhibition history, or market softening materially reduce competitive bidding; the upper bound captures a marquee sale environment with aggressive institutional/private buyer competition and full scholarly support. The likely realized outcome in ordinary high‑level sale conditions (major house, global marketing, guarantee or strong private buyer interest) is the mid‑case: roughly $20–30M.

Caveats and required work: This estimate is conditional. A formal market value requires: a full condition and conservation report (revealing any relining, inpainting or structural interventions); confirmation of catalogue‑raisonné entry and literature/exhibition citations; and technical imaging if available. Museum ownership itself both enhances prestige (raising value) and reduces market likelihood (deaccession is rare and often constrained). Export, legal or deaccession procedures would strongly affect any actual market realization.

Practical next steps: If the objective is sale or insured valuation, obtain high‑resolution photography (front/back), a written condition report, catalogue‑raisonné confirmation, and approach Impressionist/19th‑century specialists at Christie’s or Sotheby’s for a formal estimate and sales strategy. The range $15–45M reflects current comparable evidence and acknowledges material sensitivity to condition, literature and sale circumstances [1][2].

Key Valuation Factors

Art Historical Significance

High Impact

Concarneau scenes from 1891 represent Signac’s mature Pointillist technique and his focused engagement with coastal light and chromatic harmony. The Concarneau group is well regarded in Signac scholarship and frequently cited in exhibition histories of his Neo‑Impressionist period. As a clearly dated, signed scene from 1891, Op.220 sits within a peak creative moment for the artist. That art‑historical placement elevates market desirability among museum curators and blue‑chip private collectors; works that are both demonstrative of Signac’s method and traceable to key series tend to out‑perform generic late‑19th‑century marine views. For valuation purposes this factor materially raises the ceiling and supports competitive bidding when other elements (condition, provenance, literature) align.

Provenance & Exhibition

High Impact

Op.220’s provenance into Count Antoine de La Rochefoucauld, later to Galerie de l’Élysée, then Robert Lehman and the Lehman gift to The Metropolitan Museum of Art (1975 accession) is a significant value enhancer. Museum provenance and a Lehman collection history confer institutional validation and provenance clarity — two attributes that reduce buyer risk and increase estimates. However, the same museum ownership that enhances prestige also makes an appearance on the market less likely (deaccession is rare and often constrained), which affects liquidity and the probability of a sale. When museum works do appear, they frequently attract deep institutional and private buyer pools, driving prices upward.

Condition & Physical Attributes

High Impact

The painting’s physical state — original canvas, evidence of relining, degree of inpainting, varnish discoloration and structural stability — will be decisive. At 64.8 × 81.3 cm (25½ × 32 in), the work is a moderate, displayable scale favored by collectors; size is supportive but not determinative. Major conservation interventions or extensive restoration history can reduce market value materially (often 20–50% or more depending on severity). Conversely, intact original paint and a minimal‑intervention history support premium pricing. A detailed condition report and technical imaging (X‑ray/IR/UV) are required to lock down the estimate.

Comparable Sales & Market Evidence

High Impact

The direct sister work Op.219 (Concarneau, calme du matin) sold for $39.32M at Christie’s NY (Nov 2022) and functions as the strongest single‑lot anchor for Op.220’s market potential [2]. Other large Signac seascapes have realized sums ranging from mid‑seven figures to tens of millions, showing a wide dispersion tied to size, quality and sale context. The post‑2022 landscape has normalized below the Paul G. Allen sale peak, but that record demonstrates the ceiling for museum‑quality Concarneaux. Using those comparables yields the $15–45M range, with mid‑case near $20–30M in typical top‑house selling conditions.

Rarity & Marketability

Medium Impact

Large, high‑quality Concarneau canvases by Signac are uncommon on the market; scarcity supports higher prices when a museum‑grade example becomes available. Marketability is strong among institutional lenders and private collectors who focus on Neo‑Impressionism and major late‑19th‑century French colorists. Nevertheless, top‑end Signac sales are episodic and heavily dependent on single‑owner consignments and sale timing, making the top price volatile. Practical marketability also depends on export permissions and the owner’s willingness to permit major house promotion and potential travel/exhibition prior to sale.

Sale History

Concarneau. Calme du soir (allegro maestoso) has never been sold at public auction.

Paul Signac's Market

Paul Signac is a blue‑chip Neo‑Impressionist whose market is both deep and segmented. His auction record was re‑set by the high‑profile Concarneau sale in 2022 (Op.219, $39.32M), which demonstrated institutional and private collector appetite for museum‑quality canvases. At the same time, a broad mid‑market (watercolours, drawings, smaller oils) remains liquid in the low‑hundreds‑of‑thousands to low‑millions band. The top end is driven by rarity, exhibition history and single‑owner consignments; absent those, comparable Signac works trade substantially lower than headline records.

Comparable Sales

Concarneau, calme du matin (Op. 219, Larghetto)

Paul Signac

Direct sister painting from the same 1891 Concarneau series (nearly identical subject, year and comparable scale) — the best single-market benchmark for Op. 220.

$39.3M

2022, Christie's New York (Visionary: The Paul G. Allen Collection)

~$44.1M adjusted

Le Port au soleil couchant, Op. 236 (Saint‑Tropez)

Paul Signac

Large, high‑quality Signac coastal/port canvas from a later opus; shows strong demand for major seascapes and provides a secondary top‑tier benchmark for large oils.

$26.0M

2019, Christie's London (Impressionist & Modern Evening Sale)

~$33.4M adjusted

L'Arc‑en‑ciel (Venise), 1905

Paul Signac

Recent 2025 Christie's sale showing post‑Allen market normalization for high‑quality Signac works (smaller/less central subject than Concarneau); useful as a mid‑market comparator.

$6.6M

2025, Christie's London

Current Market Trends

Since the 2022 Paul G. Allen sale the Signac market has normalized: headline outliers exist but typical high‑quality works now realize mid‑single to low‑multi‑million sums unless accompanied by exceptional provenance and scholarship. Institutional exhibitions and catalogue activity continue to support demand for museum‑quality examples, while macroeconomic conditions and sale format (evening sale with guarantees versus daytime sale) materially affect outcomes.

Disclaimer: This estimate is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on publicly available data and AI analysis. It should not be used for insurance, tax, estate planning, or sale purposes. For formal appraisals, consult a certified appraiser.

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